In 2009 we passed the biggest expansion of health insurance coverage in nearly half a century, it was a major victory and resulted in twenty million uninsured Americans getting health care, it was, to quote my current favorite President, “A big fuckin’ deal.”
Then Democrats got absolutely shellacked in the 2010 midterms.
Donald Trump just barely won the 2016 election, during his tenure more than two million Americans lost their health insurance and half a million American citizens died.
Then Donald Trump got twelve million more votes than he did four years earlier.
This is just to say that I’m not convinced that American political successes or failures have much, if any impact on modern elections.
If facts and policy mattered then Republicans wouldn’t have won an election since Nixon, or Reagan, or Bush Jr., or Trump, yet here we are.
With all due respect to Senator Sanders I don’t think that the results of the 2022 midterms will be decided by anything the Democrats do or don’t do in the next two years, Democrats could cure cancer and Republicans would frame it as a war on oncologists. I wish policy and progress had a major influence on elections, but they don’t, or at least they haven’t at any point in my lifetime.